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2024-12-13 05:41:16

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.


The spot gold price once again stood at the $2,700 mark in the day.Summary of the announcement of the change of the connected stocks, 12 connected food: the company's P/E ratio and P/B ratio are significantly higher than the industry average; 8 days and 7 boards construction industry: the current P/E ratio and P/B ratio of the company are quite different from those of the same industry; 6 Lianban Shandong Glass Fiber: The company's stock may have the risk of falling sharply in the short term; 4 Lianban Tianyu Bio: The current P/B ratio of the company is higher than the average level of the same industry; 2 Lianban Lexin Technology: There is no plan to set foot in a specific machine business; 2 Lianban Guosheng Financial Holdings: The merger and acquisition matters still need to be approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission.After the release of CPI data in the United States, the yield of euro zone bonds fell by about 1 basis point, and the yield of German 10-year bonds is now flat at 2.116%.


The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds fell by 1.75 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.2069% after the release of US CPI inflation data, and a daily high of 4.2496% 10 minutes before the release of data at 21:30 Beijing time. The yield of two-year US bonds reached a new low of 4.1032%, with the current decline exceeding 3.3 basis points, and it also reached a new high of 4.1741% at 21:17.The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.

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